Iron ore prices have recently been in the headlines, having jumped eighty-five percent. This news is troubling as such price increases threaten to raise steel prices, which will add to cost inflation and further undermine economic activity. Read the rest of this entry »
Iron Grip
July 3rd, 2008Beating the Oil Barons
June 24th, 2008Over the past eighteen months, oil prices have more than doubled, inflicting huge costs on the global economy. Strong global demand, owing to emerging economies like China, has undoubtedly fueled some of the price increase. But the scale of the price spike exceeds normal demand and supply factors, pointing to the role of speculation – and underscoring the need for policy action to clean up the oil market. Read the rest of this entry »
Re-thinking That ‘70’s Inflation Show
June 16th, 2008The Federal Reserve has recently received much criticism from economic conservatives who claim it has ignored inflation, thereby risking a rerun of the 1970’s inflation show. In response, renowned Princeton economist Paul Krugman has come to the Fed’s defense arguing today’s inflation is fundamentally different from that of the 1970s. Read the rest of this entry »
Defending the Bernanke Fed
June 6th, 2008Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has recently been on the receiving end of significant criticism for recent monetary policy. One critique can be labeled the American conservative critique, and is associated with the Wall Street Journal. The other can be termed the European critique, and is associated with prominent European Economist and Financial Times contributor, Willem Buiter. Read the rest of this entry »
Tax Policy and the House Price Bubble
May 6th, 2008The bursting of the recent house price bubble has focused attention on the failures of monetary and regulatory policy. However, tax policy also likely played a role by providing tax subsidies that contribute to a cult of home ownership. This policy is flawed. However, it is politically difficult to change because households see the benefits of tax subsidies and higher house prices but do not recognize the accompanying costs. By showing the downside of high prices, the housing bust provides an opportunity to escape this political trap. Read the rest of this entry »
Curse of the Clintons
April 28th, 2008Speaking the truth is discouraged in Washington DC. For journalists there is the fear that truth telling will mean not being invited back for the next press conference or another exclusive interview. For political insiders the fear is that speaking up will injure their careers by costing them political appointment. This dynamic has helped keep the lid on the curse of the Clintons. Read the rest of this entry »
The Capture of Keynesianism
April 14th, 2008Communist revolutionary Che Guevara rapidly became an inspirational figure for revolutionary socialist change after his execution in Bolivia in 1967. Forty years later, Che lives on but his image now adorns t-shirts that have become popular fashion statements. This transformation reflects the extraordinary power of markets to capture and transform, turning an avowed enemy of the market system into a profit opportunity. Read the rest of this entry »
Demythologizing Central Bankers and the Great Moderation
April 2nd, 2008It is often said that the winners get to write history, which matters because the way we tell history frames our understandings. What is true for general history also holds for economic history, and the way we tell economic history affects our expectations and aspirations for the economy. Read the rest of this entry »
The Fed and Crony Capitalism
March 24th, 2008The Federal Reserve’s recent decision to grant Wall Street access to special borrowing facilities smells of special dealing for special interests. The decision subsidizes the biggest most powerful investment banks, thereby distorting financial markets in their favor. Behind the decision lies the problem of excessive representation of Wall Street interests within the Fed. Read the rest of this entry »
Preventing a Financial Crash
March 17th, 2008With the collapse of Bear Stearns, financial markets are moving closer to a crash that risks grave harm to the economy and the lives of working people. The Federal Reserve’s recently created Term Auction Facility (TAF) and Term Securities Lending Facility (TSLF) move policy in the right direction. However, more needs to be done if a crash is to be prevented. Read the rest of this entry »