The great German physicist Max Planck remarked that “Science advances one funeral at a time.” The situation is worse in economics which is subject to regress, as happened when the valuable but imperfect insights of Keynesianism were supplanted by the ideological blinkers of neoliberalism. (more…)
Archive for the ‘Europe’ Category
Europe’s debt crisis and Keynes’ green cheese solution
Wednesday, May 26th, 2010Euroland Is Being Crucified Upon Its Own Cross of Gold
Thursday, March 18th, 2010The last quarter of the 19th century witnessed a period of sustained global deflation. In the 1896 US presidential election, William Jennings Bryan famously attacked the gold standard as the cause of deflation, declaring “You shall not press upon the brow of labor this crown of thorns. You shall not crucify mankind upon a cross of gold.” (more…)
Letter to the Queen: Why No One Predicted the Crisis
Thursday, July 30th, 2009Her Majesty The Queen
Buckingham Palace
London
SW1A 1AA
29 July 2009
MADAM,
In response to your question why no one predicted the crisis you have recently received a letter from Professors Tim Besley and Peter Hennessy, sent on behalf of the British Academy. They claim economists’ failure to foresee the crisis was the result of a “failure of the collective imagination.” That claim is tendentious and will mislead you. (more…)
Demythologizing Central Bankers and the Great Moderation
Wednesday, April 2nd, 2008It is often said that the winners get to write history, which matters because the way we tell history frames our understandings. What is true for general history also holds for economic history, and the way we tell economic history affects our expectations and aspirations for the economy. (more…)
Exchange Rates: There is a Better Way
Wednesday, October 31st, 2007The world economy is poorly served by the current system of exchange rates. That system has contributed to today’s global financial imbalances, which are widely viewed as posing significant economic risk. These imbalances have also created political tensions between countries over how to adjust them, and within countries over job losses. Exchange rates matter more than ever under globalization, which means the world needs a better system. (more…)
Triangular Trouble: the Euro, the Dollar and the Renminbi
Monday, October 15th, 2007For the last several years the euro has been appreciating steadily against the U.S. dollar. Given the Chinese renminbi and other East Asian currencies are pegged to the dollar that means the euro has been appreciating steadily against all. This spells trouble for Euroland, and it suggests European policymakers should join with the U.S. to address the global problem of under-valued currencies. (more…)
Replace Europe’s Growth and Stability Pact with Market Discipline and Democracy
Monday, October 30th, 2006As part of the euro’s introduction, European governments agreed to constrain their budget policies through the Growth and Stability Pact. Though euphemistically termed the “growth and stability†pact, it in fact delivers neither. Moreover, owing to the constraints the pact places on national economic sovereignty, it risks contributing to political strains that threaten to undermine support for the euro. For these reasons, it is time to abandon the pact. In its place, Europe should let democracy and financial markets arbitrate the long-term viability of government fiscal policies. (more…)
Asset-Based Stability: A Proposal for the Euro Zone
Friday, February 3rd, 2006The establishment of the euro represents an important step in the creation of an integrated European economy. Over time it should yield dividends as increased competition and lower transaction costs generate increased efficiency. However, member countries have had to give up their own exchange rates and interest rates, which has created problems for economic management by reducing the number of policy instruments. In particular, the European Central Bank (ECB) must wrestle with how to set interest rates when some countries are booming, while others suffer high unemployment. Asset based reserve requirements (ABRR) can fill this policy instrument gap. (more…)