Archive for the ‘Economics’ Category

The Fed and America’s Distorted Expansion

Tuesday, September 11th, 2007

The U.S. economy has been in expansion mode since November 2001. Though of reasonable duration, the expansion has been persistently fragile and unbalanced. That is now coming home to roost in the form of the sub-prime mortgage crisis and the bursting house price bubble. (more…)

Marginal Productivity Theory and the Mainstream

Thursday, June 7th, 2007

In an earlier discussion on the state of orthodox economics hosted by TPM Café, I posted an article excavating the microeconomic foundations of neo-classical economics. In that article I wrote:

“There is one place that even orthodox lefties dare not go. That untouchable place is marginal product theory of income distribution, which basically says that competitive markets ensure that people are paid their contribution to production. This theory provides both a justification and an explanation of income distribution.” (more…)

The Case Against Inflation Targeting

Thursday, April 19th, 2007

A few months ago the Federal Reserve seemed to be inexorably moving toward adopting an inflation targeting policy regime. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is known to support such a framework having co-authored several articles and books on the subject. Moreover, his institutional hand had been strengthened by Frederic Mishkin’s appointment as Vice-Chairman of the Fed, Mishkin being one of Bernanke’s co-authors. (more…)

Monetarism: Ideology Masquerading as Theory

Monday, January 29th, 2007

January 29, 2007 has been declared Milton Friedman day. To add balance to the day, I am posting the following article on Monetarism. It draws on an earlier article, “Milton Friedman: The Great Conservative Partisan”, which provides a fuller survey of Friedman’s work. Readers may also want to visit www.Maxspeak.com that has an e- colloquium on Friedman. (more…)

Manipulating the Oil Reserve

Friday, January 26th, 2007

2006 was the year that oil prices came close to breaching eighty dollars per barrel. This was despite the fact that there were no significant supply interruptions and oil demand actually fell in industrialized countries. That raises the question of what caused the spike. (more…)

Zombie Economics: The Myth of the Twin Deficits

Monday, January 15th, 2007

It’s baaaaaack! After briefly disappearing in the late 1990s, economists have again revived the twin deficit hypothesis that asserts government budget deficits are the primary cause of trade deficits. Worse than that, some new Democrats and liberal commentators have also signed on to the “budget deficits cause trade deficits” argument, especially regarding the trade deficit with China. Take Nicholas Kristof in the New York Times (April 23, 2006): (more…)

World Asset Prices: What’s Really Going on?

Monday, January 1st, 2007

World asset prices have been booming for the last five years, with many bourses setting new record highs. Along with record real estate values, this has created fears of a global asset price bubble. Now, MIT’s Ricardo Caballero has come up with the proposition that prices are rationally up because of a global shortage of financial assets, and there is little reason to worry. Close inspection reveals his analysis to be unpersuasive on both the facts and the merits, and it also carries dangerous policy implications. (more…)

Milton Friedman: The Great Conservative Partisan

Monday, November 27th, 2006

Milton Friedman died on November 16, 2006 at the age of 94. Without doubt, Friedman was one of the most influential (perhaps the most influential) economists of the second half of the twentieth century. Not only did he contribute to reviving belief in the economic efficacy of the market system, he also had a profound political impact by linking capitalism with freedom. (more…)

A Question of Power

Thursday, September 28th, 2006

Recently, there has been growing recognition of the enormous increase in U.S. income inequality that has occurred over the last twenty-five years, bringing back inequality levels not seen since 1929. Paul Krugman has written of the danger of a new oligarchy, whose wealth is such that it may be able to control an economy and society even as large as the United States. (more…)

Trade Deficits Matter

Friday, September 22nd, 2006

Over the last several years the U.S. trade deficit has persistently set new records, hitting $717 billion in 2005, equal to almost 6 percent of GDP. China, in particular has contributed to the deficit, and now accounts for just shy of one-third of the total. By any historical standard, the economic warning lights are flashing red. (more…)